UK meteorology

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chrisbell
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6,267
Location
Norfolk, England
Any further details on this potential hurricane?
Well, for one thing it isn't a hurricane now. Once hurricanes move over colder seawater they weaken ad undergo extratropical transition, in other words they lose the hurricane characteristics and basically become a standard, though at times quite severe, European autumnal storm. Its path at the end of the week is still uncertain - it could slide up the western side of the British Isles bringing strong winds to N. Ireland and western Scotland, with rain and blustery winds elsewhere, or it could weaken further and cut across the country somewhere in the north or Midlands as a much less severe feature, bring blustery conditions and rain to all bar the northern half of Scotland. It seems likely that, after a generally settled day tomorrow and Thursday (in the east anyway), the ex-hurricane is likely to cause the ridge of high presure to recede southwards as the jet realigns, so the weekend and early next week might well be unsettled. It seems that late next week onwards should see the jet realign further north, so the typical autumnal north-west/south-east divide is likely, with the former seeing more of the unsettled conditions and the latter having more dry weather, albeit with fog likely.
 
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631
Location
Plymouth, Devon
Well, for one thing it isn't a hurricane now. Once hurricanes move over colder seawater they weaken ad undergo extratropical transition, in other words they lose the hurricane characteristics and basically become a standard, though at times quite severe, European autumnal storm. Its path at the end of the week is still uncertain - it could slide up the western side of the British Isles bringing strong winds to N. Ireland and western Scotland, with rain and blustery winds elsewhere, or it could weaken further and cut across the country somewhere in the north or Midlands as a much less severe feature, bring blustery conditions and rain to all bar the northern half of Scotland. It seems likely that, after a generally settled day tomorrow and Thursday (in the east anyway), the ex-hurricane is likely to cause the ridge of high presure to recede southwards as the jet realigns, so the weekend and early next week might well be unsettled. It seems that late next week onwards should see the jet realign further north, so the typical autumnal north-west/south-east divide is likely, with the former seeing more of the unsettled conditions and the latter having more dry weather, albeit with fog likely.
Thanks Chris. Can't get a much better answer than that!
 
OP
chrisbell
Messages
6,267
Location
Norfolk, England
Just a quick synopsis - the next couple of weeks appear to feature fairly average autumnal conditions - perhaps a burst of warmth (15-17C?) mid-month further south and east, and always wetter further north and west after a generally unsettled period tomorrow and Sunday.
 
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