Discussion in 'The Lounge' started by chrisbell, Saturday November 19, 2016.
More from aforementioned Netweather member:
Been enjoying these cold bright mornings, feels like Winter! Loads of stars last night though I didn't get any star gazing done - ironing
Had quite a few cold, wet mornings I can let you have anytime you want a wintery feel Count ... and that's pretty much all year round !
Has it been that much wetter this year than normal, Johnny?
Anyway, it seems that Dutton has stopped doing forecast videos, but he has done a short video on the likely effect of a weak La Nina this winter. This is a subject that has been considered at length on the Netweather forum, and the opinion there is pretty much as Dutton suggests:
It's all those tears he weeps when you tell him how nice the weather is in civilised places.
Been pretty much constant rain this year Chris, although that isn't really ' much wetter ' than our weather has been for the past couple of years.
Says the guy who lives in a place Mrs Radcliffe wrote a gothic horror novel about !
It's a very dry Gothic novel though...
Just an FYI for Johnny; there's a chance that midweek could see very wet and windy conditions in Scotland.
It's like the musical piece ' The War of the Worlds ' ... and still they came !
After a chillier weekend, the models now agree that the rest of November is likely to be very wet and windy; in northern and western areas, possibly dangerously stormy with copious rainfall. This is only likely to get even worse as the stratospheric polar vortex gets going and links-up with the tropospheric vortex.
Am I right in thinking that @JohnnyO is in the " dangerously stormy with copious rainfall " area of the country?
I think details of the exact southern extent of the stormy and wet area are uncertain, but he could be. By "dangerously stormy"I wasn't thinking once-in-a-lifetime, but it could be risky in terms of trees being uprooted etc.
Depending on my notoriously short old man's temper, not to mention occasional incontinence, I live in a state of ' dangerously stormy with ( unintended ) water fall ! '.
Many of our local trees lose branches pretty much any serious storm Chris, the really fragile ones are gone already through previous gales. We'll just batten down the hatches as best we can, my own fault for living at the top of a hill.
Bit like mine then, I'm halfway up the side of Wharfedale with a hill in front to help funnel the wind, clearing branches off the lane is an occupational hazard.
If only Senor Venturi had never discovered that effect ...
Just a quick post to make members aware that the models are giving differing outputs for the UK on almost every run, so the wet and windy prognosis from yesterday may not verify. If I'm able to do so, I'll post here as and when the models converge on a likely set-up.
Models this afternoon have agreed on a chilly weekend and a mild and damp week for the south, cooler, wetter and windier further north.